Bernstein raises its prediction market forecast to $10 trillion annually by 2035, doubling its prior $1 trillion 2030 projection.
Macro & Markets ·
Bernstein revised its prediction market forecast upward to $10 trillion in annual volume by 2035, a tenfold increase from its April projection of $1 trillion by 2030. The firm expects financial-asset contracts tied to crypto, stocks, and commodities to grow from 12% of market volume in 2025 to 49% by 2035, surpassing sports betting as the largest category. Bernstein anticipates volumes will compound at roughly 70% annually through 2035, with the market processing an estimated $410 billion this year compared to $50 billion in 2025.