Bitcoin has declined after each US midterm election since 2010; analysts highlight $73,000 support and $90,000–$95,000 resistance ahead of 2026.
Macro & Markets ·
Bitcoin experienced declines of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% in the periods following US midterm elections in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 respectively, according to analysis by Ali Martinez. Fourth-quarter performance in those midterm years showed volatility, with a 391% gain in Q4 2010 but losses ranging from 14.75% to 42.16% in subsequent years. Ahead of the November 2026 midterms, analysts identify $73,000 as a key support level based on short-term holder cost basis, with resistance expected near $90,000–$95,000, though some traders anticipate a pullback to $75,000–$77,000 could occur before a sustained rally.