Bitcoin's one-year realized volatility ended Q2 2026 at ~42%, near multiyear lows despite Q2 price declines.
Macro & Markets ·
Bitcoin's one-year realized volatility closed the second quarter of 2026 at approximately 42%, remaining near levels not seen for several years, despite price declines throughout the quarter. Realized volatility measures the actual fluctuations in an asset's price over a trailing period, providing a backward-looking gauge of how much an asset has moved. The persistence of relatively low volatility despite Q2 price weakness suggests that while Bitcoin traded lower, the magnitude and pace of those moves remained contained compared to historical norms, according to analysis from Ark Invest. Whether this low-volatility regime will hold into the second half of 2026, or whether volatility may expand alongside fresh price direction, remains to be seen.