Prediction market trading surged to $113.8B in Q2 2026 with June hitting $50.7B, driven by sports events and institutional interest from Cboe and Meta.
DeFi & Yields ·
Prediction market notional volume reached $113.8 billion in Q2 2026, up 48.7% from the prior quarter, with June alone hitting a record $50.7 billion driven largely by major sporting events like the UEFA Champions League Final and FIFA World Cup. Sports-related contracts accounted for 81% of trading volume on Polymarket in June, though the platform's overall market share declined to 30.2% while Kalshi expanded to 58.9%. Cboe Global Markets launched a new prediction markets platform featuring binary options tied to the S&P 500, and Meta is developing a standalone prediction app called Arena, signaling institutional and corporate entry into the space.